Darren Shaughnessy, Director Kings Residential, Estate Agents in Manchester and Letting Agents in Manchester writes:
The housing market received a welcome but modest boost today as the Bank of England reduced interest rates against the backdrop of depressed levels of property sales.
The Estate Agency business has seen a significant reduction in the number of property sales in the last few months as the media talks down property prices but we have not seen significant reductions in prices. In the city centres, where buy-to-let investors have bought 90% of all properties and where most properties have purchased in the last couple of years, there is no room for discounting prices as there has been no equity growth over this period. There have been repossessions of properties from buy-to-let investors who have over-extended themselves and in some areas there have been enough repossessions to affect the market values of properties.
In the suburbs where property owners are funding their mortgages based on affordability against stable incomes rather than optimistic rental returns there is no sign of an increase in forced sales. There may be the occasional property that is reduced because the vendors really want to sell quickly and to be assured of a fast sale drop the price. However, there are not enough of these to dramatically affect the prices of property in the suburbs. In most cases the vendors want the full market price and are not prepared to drop the prices. In a market with nervous buyers fearing uncertainty, this leads to stagnation of the market and that is what we are seeing now.
As an estate agent I would love to see a 40% drop in prices as this would stimulate the first time buyer market and kick start property sales which would mean increased property sale commissions. The reality is that without some external factor(s) to increase the number of forced property sales, their will be no widespread fall in prices.
The reduction in interest rates is likely to increase confidence slightly so may have a positive effect on the market. It will certainly help those buy to let landlords struggling to meet the gap between the rental yields and the mortgage payments but will it stimulate property sales? I think that in the suburbs it will a little. In high density buy to let zones I don’t believe it will make any difference.
The thing that will stimulate property sales will be affordable lower-end property prices and this does not appear to be close to the horizon.